An
Evolutionary Argument Against Naturalism
By Prof. Alvin Plantinga
The following is the outline of the lecture Prof.
Plantinga gave at BIOLA University.
A. THE PROBLEM
theism: we human beings have been created by a wholly good, all powerful and all knowing
person: one who has knowledge, aims and intentions and acts to accomplish them. God and
creation
naturalism: the theistic picture minus God. Carl Sagan,
Stephen Jay Gould, David Armstrong, the later Darwin, John Dewey, Bertrand Russell
cognitive faculties: the powers or faculties of capacities
whereby we have knowledge or form belief: memory, perception, reason, maybe others
theism and the reliability of cognitive faculties
Thomas Aquinas:
Since human beings are said to be in the image of God in
virtue of their having a nature that includes an intellect, such a nature is most in the
image of God in virtue of being most able to imitate God (ST Ia q. 93 a. 4);
and
Only in rational creatures is there found a likeness of God
which counts as an image . . . . As far as a likeness of the divine nature is concerned,
rational creatures seem somehow to attain a representation of [that] type in virtue of
imitating God not only in this, that he is and lives, but especially in this, that he
understands (ST Ia Q.93 a.6).
Most of us think (or would think on reflection) that at least
afunction or purpose of our cognitive faculties is to provide us with true beliefs.
Moreover, we go on to think that when they function properly, in accord with our design
plan, then for the most part they do precisely that.
faculties much better adapted to reach the truth in some
areas than others; elementary arithmetic and logic, and the perception of middle-sized
objects under ordinary conditions. Remembering certain sorts of things:
Things get more difficult, however, when it comes to an
accurate reconstruction of what it was like to be, say, a fifth century BC Greek (not to
mention a bat). And working at the limits of our powers: contemporary cosmology, for
example. Still,
But isn't there a problem, here, for the naturalist? At any
rate for the naturalist who thinks that we and our cognitive faculties arrived upon the
scene after some
billions of years of evolution (by way of natural selection,
genetic drift, and other blind processes working on such sources of genetic variation as
random genetic mutation)?
Richard Dawkins (according to Peter Medawar, "one of the
most brilliant of the rising generation of biologists") once leaned over and remarked
to A.J.Ayer at one of those elegant, candle-lit, bibulous Oxford college dinners that he
couldn't imagine being an atheist before 1859 (the year Darwin's Origin of Species
was published); "...although atheism might have been logically tenable before
Darwin", said he, "Darwin made it possible to be an intellectually fulfilled
atheist." The Blind Watchmaker Dawkins goes on:
All appearances to the contrary, the only watchmaker in
nature is the blind forces of physics, albeit deployed in a very special way. A true
watchmaker has foresight: he designs his cogs and springs, and plans their
interconnections, with a future purpose in his mind's eye. Natural selection, the blind,
unconscious automatic process which Darwin discovered, and which we now know is the
explanation for the existence and apparently purposeful form of all life, has no purpose
at all. If it can be said to play the role of watchmaker in nature, it is the blind
watchmaker.
--Dawkins
Now Dawkins thinks Darwin make it possible to be an
intellectually fulfilled atheist. But perhaps Dawkins is dead wrong here. Perhaps the
truth lies in the opposite direction. Their ultimate purpose survival: not production of
true beliefs.
Patricia Churchland:
Boiled down to essentials, a nervous system enables the
organism to succeed in the four F's: feeding, fleeing, fighting, and reproducing. The
principle chore of nervous systems is to get the body parts where they should be in order
that the organism may survive. . . . . Improvements in sensorimotor control confer an
evolutionary advantage: a fancier style of representing is advantageous so long as it
is geared to the organism's way of life and enhances the organism's chances of survival
[Churchland's emphasis]. Truth, whatever that is, definitely takes the hindmost.
W. v. O. Quine and Karl Popper, Popper: since we have evolved
and survived, we may be pretty sure that our hypotheses and guesses as to what the world
is like are mostly correct. And Quine says he finds encouragement in Darwin:
There is some encouragement in Darwin. If people's innate
spacing of qualities is a gene-linked trait, then the spacing that has made for the most
successful inductions will have tended to predominate through natural selection. Creatures
inveterately wrong in their inductions have a pathetic but praiseworthy tendency to die
before reproducing their kind.
Quine finds a great deal more encouragement in Darwin than
Darwin did: "With me," says Darwin, "the horrid doubt always arises whether
the convictions of man's mind, which has been developed from the mind of the lower
animals, are of any value or at all trustworthy. Would any one trust in the convictions of
a monkey's mind, if there are any convictions in such a mind?"
Quine and Popper on one side and Darwin and Churchland on the
other. Who is right? But can we sharpen the question? What, precisely, is the argument
about? Darwin and Churchland seem to believe that (naturalistic) evolution gives one a
reason to doubt that human cognitive faculties are reliable (produce mostly true beliefs):
call this 'Darwin's Doubt'. Quine and Popper, on the other hand, apparently hold that
evolution gives us reason to believe that human cognitive faculties do produce for
the most part true or verisimilitudinous beliefs. How shall we understand this dispute?
B. DARWIN'S DOUBT
One possibility: perhaps Darwin and Churchland mean to
propose that a certain conditional probability is low: the probability of human
cognitive faculties' being reliable, given that human cog faculties have been produced by
evolution (Dawkin's blind evolution, unguided by the hand of God or any other
person). If (naturalistic) evolution is true, then our cognitive faculties will have
resulted from blind mechanisms like natural selection, working on sources of genetic
variation such as random genetic mutation. And the ultimate purpose or function
(Churchland's 'chore') of our cognitive faculties, if indeed they have a purpose or
function, will be survival - of individual, species, gene, or genotype. But then it is
unlikely that they have the production of true beliefs as a function. So the probability
or our faculties' being reliable, given naturalistic evolution, would be fairly low.
Popper and Quine, on the other side, judge that probability fairly high.
N is metaphysical naturalism. (Crucial to metaphysical
naturalism, of course, is the view that there is no such person as the God of traditional
theism.) E: human cognitive faculties have arisen by way of evolution (as conceived by
contemporary evolutionary science). R: the claim that our cognitive faculties are reliable
And the question is: What is the probability of R, given N&E? Darwin and Churchland
propose that this probability is relatively low, while Quine and Popper think it fairly
high.
1. THE DOUBT DEVELOPED
Suppose we think, first, not about ourselves and our ancestors, but about a hypothetical
population of creatures rather like ourselves on a planet similar to Earth. (Darwin
proposed that we think about another species, such as monkeys.) Suppose these creatures
have cognitive faculties, hold beliefs, change beliefs, make inferences, and so on; and
suppose these creatures have arisen by way of the selection processes endorsed by
contemporary evolutionary thought. What is the probability that their faculties are
reliable? What is P(R/N&E), specified, not to us, but to them? According to Quine and
Popper, rather high: belief is connected with action in such a way that extensive false
belief would lead to maladaptive behavior, in which case it is likely that the ancestors
of those creatures would have displayed that pathetic but praiseworthy tendency Quine
mentions.
But: first, perhaps it is likely that their behavior
is (or was) adaptive; but nothing follows about their beliefs. Everything depends
upon the way in which their behavior is related to their beliefs.
(a) maybe their beliefs do not cause their behavior.
(Epiphenomenalism: T H Huxley) If so, they would be invisible to evolution; and
then the fact that they arose during the evolutionary history of these beings would confer
no probability oat all on the idea that they are mostly true, or mostly nearly true,
rather than wildly false. Indeed, the probability of their being mostly true would have to
be estimated as fairly low; the probability that a randomly chosen large set of
propositions contains vastly more true beliefs than false beliefs is low. (It couldbe
that one of these creatures believes that he is at that elegant, bibulous Oxford dinner,
when in fact he is slogging his way through some primeval swamp, desperately fighting off
hungry crocodiles.) JM Smith: "A few years ago, he wrote that he had never understood
why organism have feelings. After all, orthodox biologists believe that behavior, however
complex, is governed entirely by biochemistry and that the attendant sensations - fear,
pain, wonder, love - are just shadows cast by that biochemistry, not themselves vital to
the organism's behavior . . . . Time De. '92
(b) beliefs do indeed cause behavior, but only by virtue of
their electro-chemical properties, not by virtue of their content. This
possibility is said to be the "received opinion" by Rob Cummins (Meaning and
Mental Representation); if you accept materialism re minds, it's hard to see any
alternative.
(c) A third possibility: it could be that belief cause
behavior by way of content but is maladaptive. Again, low.
(d) the beliefs or our hypothetical creatures cause their
behavior and also adaptive. Probability (on this possibility together with N&E) that
their cognitive faculties are reliable?
Not as high as you might think. Beliefs don't causally
produce behavior by themselves; it is beliefs, desires, and other factors that do
so together. Then the problem is that clearly there will be any number of different
patterns of belief and desire that would issue in the same action; and among those there
will be many in which the beliefs are wildly false. Paul is a prehistoric hominid; the
exigencies of survival call for him to display tiger avoidance behavior. There will be
many behaviors that are appropriate: fleeing, for example, or climbing a steep rock face,
or crawling into a hole too small to admit the tiger, or leaping into a handy lake. Pick
any such appropriately specific behavior B. Paul engages in B, we think,
because, sensible fellow that he is, he has an aversion to being eaten and believes that B
is a good means of thwarting the tiger's intentions.
But clearly this avoidance behavior could result from a
thousand other belief-desire combinations: indefinitely many other belief-desire systems
fit B equally well. Perhaps Paul very much likes the idea of being eaten,
but when he sees a tiger, always runs off looking for a better prospect, because he thinks
it unlikely that the tiger he sees will eat him. This will get his body parts in the right
place so far as survival is concerned, without involving much by way of true belief. Or
perhaps he thinks the tiger is a large, friendly, cuddly pussycat and wants to pet it; but
he also believes that the best way to pet it is to run away from it. Or perhaps the
confuses running towards it with running away from it, believing of the
action that is really running away from it, that it is running towards it; or perhaps he
thinks the tiger is a regularly reoccurring illusion, and hoping to keep his weight down,
has formed the resolution to run a mile at top speed whenever presented with such an
illusion; or perhaps he thinks he is about to take part in a 1600 meter race, wants to
win, and believes the appearance of the tiger is the starting signal; or perhaps . . . .
Clearly there are any number of belief-cum-desire systems that equally fit a given bit of
behavior.
Trying to combine these probabilities in an appropriate way,
then, it would be reasonable to suppose that the probability of R, of these creatures'
cognitive systems' being reliable, is relatively low, somewhat less than 1/2.
Now return to Darwin's Doubt. The reasoning that applies to
these hypothetical creatures, of course, also applies to us; so if we think the
probability of R with respect to them is relatively low on N&E, we should think
the same thing about the probability of R with respect to us. Something like this
reasoning, perhaps, is what underlay Darwin's doubt. So we should think that P(R/N&E)
for us is low. And if we accept N&E, this gives us a defeater for our belief in
R: a reason to doubt it, to be agnostic with respect to it. If R is unlikely or improbable
given the way our faculties have come to be, then we have a reason to reject or withhold
R.
C. THE ARGUMENT AGAINST NATURALISM
1. THE DOUBT DEVELOPED AGAIN
Of course the argument for a low estimate of P(R/N&E) is pretty weak. In particular,
our estimates of the various probabilities involved in estimating P(R/N&E) with
respect to that hypothetical population were pretty shaky. So perhaps the right course
here is simple agnosticism: that probability is inscrutable; we just can't tell what it
is.
This also seems sensible. What would then be the appropriate
attitude towards R (specified to that hypothetical population)? Someone who accepts
N&E and also believes that the proper attitude towards P(R/N&E) is one of
agnosticism, clearly, has good reason for being agnostic about R as well.
But now suppose we again apply the same sort of reasoning to
ourselves and our condition. Suppose we think N&E it true: we ourselves have evolved
according to the mechanisms suggested by contemporary evolutionary theory, unguided and
unorchestrated by God or anyone else. Suppose we think, furthermore, that there is no way
to determine P(R/N&E) (specified to us). What would be the right attitude to take to
R? Well, if we have no further information, then wouldn't the right attitude here, just as
with respect to that hypothetical population, be agnosticism, withholding belief? If this
probability is inscrutable, then we have a defeater for R, just as in the case where that
probability is low.
So P(R/N&E) is either low or inscrutable; and if we
accept N&E, then in either case we have a defeater for R.
2. SOME ANALOGIES
(a) A believer in God comes to believe that such belief is produced by wish fulfillment.
Suppose she considers the objective probability that wish fulfillment, as a belief
producing mechanism, is reliable: low or inscrutable: such that we can't tell what it si.
In either case she has a defeater for any belief she takes to be produced by the mechanism
in question: reason to reject it, no to hold it, to withhold it.
(b) the widgets on the assembly line: the second kind of
widget case: here she doesn't come to believe that the probability of a widget's being
red, given that it looks red, is low; instead, she is agnostic about that probability.
(c) you come to think you have been created by a malignant
Cartesian demon that takes pleasure in deceiving those he creates: Most of the beliefs
held by his creatures are false. Then you have a defeater for any belief you hold. And the
same goes whether you think the probability in question is low or inscrutable.
But now suppose we return to the person convinced of N&E
who is agnostic about P(R/N&E): something similar goes for him. He is in the same
position with respect to any belief B of his, as is the above believer in God. He
is in the same condition as the person who comes to think she has been created by that
Cartesian evil demon. So he too has a defeater for B, and a good reason for being
agnostic with respect to it.
3.THE ARGUMENT
Now for the argument that it is irrational to believe N&E: P(R/N&E) is either low
or inscrutable; in either case (if you accept N&E) you have a defeater for R, and
therefore for any other belief B you might hold; but B might be N&E
itself; so one who accepts N&E has a defeater for N&E, a reason to
doubt or be agnostic with respect to it. If he has no independent evidence, N&E is
self-defeating and hence irrational.
Could he get a defeater rot this dereater - a
defeater-defeater? Maybe by doing some science, by, e.g., determining by scientific means
that his faculties really are reliable?
But of course that would presuppose that his faculties
are reliable. Thomas Reid (Essays on the Intellectual Powers of Man):
If a man's honesty were called into question, it would be
ridiculous to refer to the man's own word, whether he be honest or not. The same absurdity
there is in attempting to prove, by any kind of reasoning, probable or demonstrative, that
our reason is not fallacious, since the very point in question is, whether reasoning may
be trusted.(276)
Is there any sensible way at all in which he can argue for R?
Any argument he might produce will have premises; and these premises, he claims, give him
good reason to believe R. But of course he has the very same defeater for each of those
premises that he has for R
so this defeater can't be defeated.
We could also put it like this: any argument he offers, for
R, is circular or question begging. Naturalistic evolution gives its adherents a reason
for doubting that our beliefs are mostly true; perhaps they are mostly mistaken; for the
very reason for mistrusting our cognitive faculties generally, will be a reason for
mistrusting the faculties that produce belief in the goodness of the argument.
Hence the devotee of N&E has a defeater D for N&E - a
defeater, furthermore, that can't be defeated. So N&E is self-defeating, and can't
rationally be accepted.
One who contemplates accepting N, and is torn, let's say,
between N and theism, would reason as follows: if I were to accept N, I would have good
and ultimately defeated reason to be agnostic about N; so I shouldn't accept it. (An
argument for the irrationality of N, not for its falsehood.)
The traditional theist, on the other hand, has no
corresponding reason for doubting that it is a purpose of our cognitive systems to produce
true beliefs, nor any reason for thinking the probability of a belief's being true, given
that it is a product of her cognitive faculties, is low or inscrutable. She may indeed
endorse some form of evolution; but if she does, it will be a form of evolution guided and
orchestrated by God. And qua traditional theist -- qua Jewish, Moslem, or
Christian theist - she believes that God is the premier knower and has created us human
beings in his image, an important part of which involves his giving them what is needed to
have knowledge, just as he does.
The conclusion to be drawn, therefore, is that the
conjunction of naturalism with evolutionary theory is self-defeating: it provides for
itself an undefeated defeater. It is therfore unacceptable and irrational.
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